Aurora Forecast (non flash)

Hourly Aurora Forecast

Using real-time solar wind data from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft, matched with some computer modelling, we are able to display with reasonable accuracy, how the aurora will behave up to one hour in advance.
Image should be used as a guide only. Aurora may be seen slightly higher or lower than the image shows on any given night.

Right now, the aurora is predicted to be: Kp 2.33

In 0 hour and 15 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 2.00
In 0 hour and 30 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 2.00
In 0 hour and 45 minutes, the aurora is predicted to be kp 1.67

What do Kp numbers mean?

Daily Forecast

While all the other forecasts are using satellite and scientific data. The Daily aurora forecast is predicted at 3pm Finnish time (1pm Universal Time) by a person. (The computer models and predictions are great, but using real life experience and pattern recognition is something they can’t do).

  • 19th October 2016

    Tonight’s estimated aurora level:

    Level 2 – Low

    Auroral activity should be at low levels. Weather permitting, aurora displays may be visible overhead or on the horizon in Bodø (Norway), Sodankylä (Finland), Kiruna (Sweden) and Siglufjörður (Iceland).

    No significant geomagnetic activity expected.

3 Day Forecast
3 day Kp number predictions are courtesy of NOAA.

  • 19th – 21st October 2016

    The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (19 Oct) due to persistent, but waning, negative polarity CH HSS effects. Quiet conditions are expected on days two and three (20-21 Oct) as CH HSS effects fully wane.

Predicted kp numbers for the next 3 days:

Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25
00-03UT 1 5 (G1) 5 (G1)
03-06UT 2 5 (G1) 5 (G1)
06-09UT 3 4 4
09-12UT 2 4 4
12-15UT 4 4 4
15-18UT 4 5 (G1) 5 (G1)
18-21UT 4 6 (G2) 5 (G1)
21-00UT 5 (G1) 5 (G1) 6 (G2)

Time now in UTC (Universal Time) is: 21:59 23/10/16

Why do we use UTC?
UTC (Universal Time) is used in science, weather, aviation, military and many other fields. It eliminates confusion with multiple time zones and daylight saving. For more information on UTC click here

aurora borealis forecast

Solar Wind Gauges

These gauges are our own system, they are updated every 60 seconds directly from Nasa’s ACE spacecraft data. The data you see here is what the ACE spacecraft monitored only moments ago. These 3 components are the most important components of the solar wind (when it comes to Aurora Borealis). Note the Bz gauge works backwards. You can view all the components of the solar wind on our other solar wind tool here.

Gauges are updated every minute live (without the need for page refresh).

How to interpret the gauge activity
Aurora Borealis activity gauge information green Aurora Borealis activity gauge information green Aurora Borealis activity gauge information green Aurora Borealis activity gauge information green

northern lights forecast

SWPC Solar Wind Dials
Dials are updated every 5 minutes
with data averaged over last 15 minutes.
More info.

Real-time aurora forecasting tool
Real time solar wind tool (*NEW*)

click to launch
aurora prediction map
Aurora Ovation Oval
(short term prediction)
latest northern lights activity
Auroral Map
(last recorded aurora strength)
Data from DSCOVR: Deep Space Climate Observatory – courtesy of SWPC.

real-time northern lights forecast
ACE Real Time Solar Wind MAG & SWEPAM data


geomagnetic forecastMagnetometer located in Dombås, Norway 62°N

What Kp strength do you need to view Northern Lights where you are?

Northern lights Europe Map

The Northern Lights are most often seen in the Lapland regions of Finland, Sweden and Norway along with Iceland and Greenland. But during high activity, auroras are often visible from much lower latitudes, often including Scotland, Ireland, Denmark, Estonia and more. This table allows you to see what Kp level is typically required see aurora borealis where you are in the event of high geomagnetic activity.

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